I-New Hampshire: USanders umangaze uBiden. Amakhandidethi amaningana asondele ku-15%

La uhlanga lwentando yeningi ukubhekana noDonald Trump okhethweni lukamongameli waseMelika ngoNovemba, ngemuva kwezinyanga zezinkulumompikiswano kanye nokuqoqwa kwezimali, manje sekufinyelela ezikhathini zakhona ezibalulekile.

El isimo sokuqala ozonquma ukuthi yiziphi izithunywa ezizozithumela engqungqutheleni yeDemokhrasi ezoba ngoJulayi Iowa, ozovota ngoMsombuluko ozayo. Okwamanje, impi ekhona igxile kuSanders noBiden, okubonakala sengathi bathole umkhawulo omncane wokusekelwa okungu-15%, okudingekayo ukuze kutholwe izithunywa, kanti abanye abazongenela ukhetho basemngceleni wokuzithola.

Eyesibili yiNew Hampshire, ezogubha ama-primaries ayo ngemuva kwesonto, okungukuthi, i 11 ngoFebhuwari. I-New Hampshire ayibalulekile kangako ngokwezibalo kune-Iowa, ngoba yabela izithunywa ezingama-24 kuphela esilinganisweni esicishe sibe ngu-4.000. Kodwa ngokuba ngomunye wabokuqala ukuvotelwa, ukubaluleka kwayo kuyakhuliswa, ngoba Izoba nomthelela kubo bonke abazobanjwa kamuva.

Ukuziphendukela kwemvelo emasontweni amabili edlule kulesi sifundazwe sesibili kufana kakhulu nalokho kwase-Iowa:

USanders uhola ngokusobala, kuyilapho u-Biden, u-Buttigieg no-Warren beminyene ndawonye endaweni yesibili yokucabanga.

Lokhu kungaluthinta kanjani ukhetho lwezithunywa zengqungquthela yeDemocratic Alliance ngoJulayi?

Ukwabiwa kwezithunywa ngalesi sikhathi kuzoncishiswa kube ababili abazokhethwa, Sanders noBiden futhi, kungaba munye nje: Bernie Sanders. Kungenzeka kanjani? Ukuze ufake ukusatshalaliswa kufanele uthole, okungenani eyodwa 15% ukwesekwa. Sanders inala (okwamanje), kodwa uBiden, futhi ikakhulukazi uButtigieg noWarren, basonqenqemeni (noma ngezansi) lwaleso sibalo. UBiden useqala ukukhombisa izimpawu zokwethuka, kanti izolo uveze ukuthi, emzamweni wokubuyisa izikhundla ngokumelene noSanders, angazifaka phakathi. Michelle Obama njengosekela mongameli ekukhethweni kwakhe.

Ukulingana phakathi kwamakhandidethi kukhulu kunemikhankaso edlule, futhi umdanso omncane ongu-1% ungashintsha (kakhulu) isabelo sezithunywa. Amakhokhasi e-Iowa ne-New Hampshire ayisiqalo nje somjaho omude ozosithatha kuze kufike uJulayi, lapho Umgomo uwukufinyelela okungenani izithunywa eziyi-1.990, isibalo, namuhla, okungekho noyedwa kwabangenele ukhetho ongasizuza, ngokwezilinganiso ezikhona zezwe lonke.

Okokugcina, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi ama-polls for primaries e-United States angaphansi kwe- ukungaqiniseki okukhulu, kanye nemajini ehlukile ka-10% noma ngaphezulu phakathi kocwaningo olulodwa nolunye, ngisho lwenziwa ngezinsuku ezifanayo, akumangalisi. Isibonelo, endabeni yaseNew Hampshire, futhi kuphela kulezo ezenziwe ngesonto eledlule, amamajini ami kanje:

• Sanders: 16% kuya ku-29%
• I-Biden: 14% kuya ku-22%
• Buttigieg: 10% kuya ku-17%
• UWarren: 10% kuya ku-16%