I-Germany: ilungelo elidlulele liphikisana ne-SPD yendawo yesibili

Ziningi izinhlolovo, futhi akuzona zonke ezisho into efanayo, hhayi eSpain noma kwamanye amazwe. Ngokwesibonelo, eJalimane lezi ngezokugcina, ngokusho Dawum.de:

Iqembu lokuqala eJalimane kuzocaca ukuthi kube yiCDU/CSU kaShansela uMerkel, kanti indawo yesibili izobangwa yiqembu lentando yeningi lendabuko kanye ne-AfD ephikisana nokufudukela kwamanye amazwe. Isinyathelo esingemuva, kodwa ngamaphesenti abaluleke kakhulu, kungaba uhlaza, kwesokunxele se-Linke kanye nama-liberals e-FDP.

Mhlawumbe okuthakazelisa kakhulu ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kokhetho lwalelizwe ukubona ukuguquguquka kwesilinganiso sokuvota onyakeni odlule.

NgoSepthemba kube nokhetho olwaholela ekutheni kube nePhalamende elingenabo abantu abaningi abacacile. Ngemuva kwezinyanga zezingxoxo, umzamo wokwakha “umfelandawonye waseJamaica” phakathi kweCDU kaMerkel, iGreens (Grüne) kanye neLiberals (FDP) yehlulekile. Kwabaqisayo, kakade ngoMashi 2018, kwafinyelelwa isivumelwano se-CDU/SPD esasigwema ukubizwa kokhetho olusha.

Kusukela lapho, ukungezwani mayelana nenkinga yokufika kwabantu kwamanye amazwe kuye kwabeka isikhulu esisha ezikhathini eziningi. Umfelandawonye kahulumeni ubonile ukuthi isikweletu sawo sincishisiwe, futhi zombili iqembu likaMerkel kanye ne-SPD, namuhla, balindele ukhetho olubi kakhulu kunonyaka odlule. UMerkel uke wabhekana nokungezwani kanye nokungaboni ngaso linye eqenjini lakhe kanye nabalingani bakhe bomlando baseBavaria be-CSU, kuyilapho i-SPD ihamba ngaphandle kokuqondisa okucacile. Kangangoba, ukube ukhetho belubanjwe namuhla, ngokokuqala ngqa emashumini eminyaka isamba sawo womabili amaqembu sibe ngaphansi kwama-50% wamavoti nezihlalo eBundestag.

Khonamanjalo, amaqembu “esithathu” asebenzise lesi simo. I-AfD ithola amavoti futhi isivele ilingana neSocial Democrats, ngenxa yokwanda kokwenqatshwa kwenqubomgomo kahulumeni yokufika kwabantu kwamanye amazwe. Ama-liberal aphinde abhalisele ukuvikela imigomo eqinile, ngethemba lokuthi azokwenza ukuguga kukahulumeni kube nenzuzo, kanti imifino ikhula ngezindleko ze-SPD engakamtholi umholi wokugwema ukopha okungapheli kwamavoti. Leli qembu belilokhu lilahlekelwe kusukela ngo-1998, lapho lagcina khona ukufinyelela ku-40% wamavoti. Namuhla ngingajabula uma ngikwazile ukuvuna ingxenye yawo.

Jose Salver