2 × 1: The Great Confluence idzakhala yolephera

Lero, mu April 2016, Podemos ndi mavoti ake ali pa 18-19% ya mavoti (mfundo ziwiri pamwamba, mfundo ziwiri pansi). Izquierda Unida iyenera kukhala yozungulira 6-7%, yokhala ndi malire ofanana.

Izi zikutanthauza kuti, kwa ena, kuyanjana pakati pa awiriwa kutha kupeza mavoti 25%. Ngati sitikhulupirira zisankho, chifukwa tikumvetsetsa kuti, monga zidachitikira pa 20-D, akuchepetsa Podemos, mgwirizano ndi Izquierda Unida ukanakhala pafupifupi 30% ya mavoti.

Poyang'anizana ndi chilengezo cha mgwirizano wotheka ndi Izquierda Unida, otsatira ena a Podemos ali okondwa. Kulumikizana pakati pa awiriwa ndi nkhani yabwino, akuti, chifukwa ingakhale yachiwiri, mwina yoyamba, masewera ku Spain. Konzekerani, Mariano, chifukwa mu June adzakumasulani ...

Ndikoyenera kuziziritsa pang'ono kutentha kwachiyembekezo komwe kumakhudza ena, kupereka deta kuchokera ku zenizeni. Maonekedwe a ndale ali ngati chilengedwe, kumene mitundu yosiyanasiyana (maphwando) amapikisana wina ndi mzake mwa kusunga malo ochuluka momwe mungathere, kuonetsetsa kuti pakhalepo, choyamba, ndi kufalikira, pambuyo pake, kwa anthu omwe ali mbali ya mtundu uliwonse.

Dongosolo losavuta lazachilengedwe la ndale limaphatikizapo kuzigawa mu 11 "niches". Niche "0" ingakhale kumanzere kwambiri, ndipo "10" ingakhale kumanja kwambiri. M'malo ena, chipani chimodzi chokha chimapeza mavoti (mwachitsanzo, PP mu "8"), koma mwa ena, maphwando angapo amakumana pamipikisano yolimba (mwachitsanzo, PSOE ndi Ciudadanos mu "5", kapena PP ndi Ciudadanos mu " 6”). Chipani chilichonse chimayesetsa kupeza ma niches angapo, kupirira mpikisano wocheperako momwe mungathere. mu iliyonse ya izo.

Pamikhalidwe imeneyo, Podemos adayimira kudzipereka kwapang'onopang'ono: chipanicho, makamaka, chikhoza kufikira ma niches onse azisankho. Ngakhale ovota ambiri a Podemos tsopano akudziwikiratu ndi kumanzere, chipanicho chikuvutikirabe kudziwonetsera ngati china. Ndilo phwando la kusintha, chipani cha omwe ali pansipa, chipani chomwe chimamenyana ndi gulu la ndale ... Njira ya Podemos ndi yanzeru, ndipo ngakhale kuti nthawi zambiri sinabala zipatso zambiri, imapanga chithunzithunzi champhamvu. Zomwezo zimachitika pa nkhani ya dziko: imadziwonetsera ngati chipani cha Spain, imati ikufuna kuti Spain ikhalebe momwe ilili, koma nthawi yomweyo imateteza ufulu wodziyimira pawokha, motero kuyesera kutenga niches mwachizolowezi. zosungidwa kwa osankhidwa a nationalist. Transversality mu mawonekedwe ake koyera, nayenso.

Izquierda Unida ndi chinthu chosiyana kwambiri. Ndi phwando lachikale, lomwe lili ndi miyambo ya kumanzere ndi yapadziko lonse. Zotsatira zake zachisankho zakhala zodzichepetsa nthawi zonse, ndipo chifukwa chake nthawi zina zimawopseza kupyola malire, kuvala zovala za chilengedwe kapena zadziko, kuyesera kuti agwirizane ndi zochitika zamagulu a anthu. Koma izi sizilepheretsa kulembedwa kwake kukhala kofanana ndi nthawi zonse: Imasiyidwa, kumanzere koyera, popanda ma nuances. Chimenecho ndicho chiyambi chake. M'miyezi yaposachedwa wapezanso chuma chatsopano: mtsogoleri wokongola, Garzón, kuti sanawotchedwe mofanana ndi ena pa zokambirana za boma latsopano, komanso kuti akuwoneka wogwirizana komanso wowona mtima. Ovota amalipidwa pa zonsezi, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti ziyembekezo zawo za chisankho ziwoneke bwino.

Pakadakhala zisankho tsopano ndipo Izquierda Unida idadziyendetsa yokha, ikadakhala ndi mwayi wopeza nduna m'zigawo zingapo. Ambiri amayesa kuti ikhoza kupitilira nduna 10. Kuchokera pamenepo, mavoti awiri okha pa zana aliwonse angamufikitse pamipando makumi awiri.

Y Ndi ndendende tsopano kuti kuphatikizidwa kwake mumagulu a Podemos akuganiziridwa. Podemos yomwe mwachionekere ndi mphamvu yachitatu, ngati si yachinayi, ikufuna kukakamira nyenyezi yotuluka ya Garzón kuti, poyikumbatira, ibwererenso. Kusuntha, mosakayikira, kuli ndi malingaliro onse padziko lapansi Pablo Iglesias, que Zikuoneka kuti ali ndi zifukwa zomveka zotsimikizira.

Pamodzi, Podemos ndi Izquierda Unida akhoza kulakalaka kuti apambane mipando m'madera onse kupatula Ceuta ndi Melilla, chinthu chomwe sichikanatha kufikira atapita padera. Pamodzi, Norma D'Hont akanatenga mbali yake, ndipo amatha kuposa PSOE ngakhalenso PP.

Koma kusanthula uku ndikosavuta chifukwa kumanyalanyaza mfundo yofunikira. Tikumbukire kuti mu ndale zomwe zimati zifike poyamba ndiyeno kutenga mavoti osiyanasiyana. Izo zikutanthauza Mu ndale ziwiri ndi ziwiri sizimafanana ndi zinayi, koma zimangowonjezera zochepa. Chifukwa chiyani?

Chifukwa M'malo omwe maphwando onse awiri amapikisana pa osankhidwa, mgwirizano sudzawapatsa voti ina. ndipo inde, m'malo mwake, akhoza kuchotsa zina. Mu niches "0" mpaka "3" mbali zonse zimatenga malo awo amphamvu kwambiri. Podemos ndi yolemera kwambiri kuposa Izquierda Unida mwa onsewo, koma kupezeka kwa mbali ya Garzón ndikofunikira. Zitheka bwanji? Zili bwanji kuti, pokhala wamphamvu kwambiri, Podemos sanathe kuphwanya Izquierda Unida pa mfundo iliyonse pa bolodi? Chifukwa chiyani Podemos sanathe kuchita ndi IU zomwe Ciudadanos anachita ndi UPyD?

Chifukwa Izquierda Unida imapereka mtengo wowonjezera womwe sinathe kuwapeza. mtengo wa phwando lomwe lili ndi mbiri komanso mgwirizano wa mbiri yakale (kwa iwo omwe amavotera), tsopano akulimbikitsidwa ndi umunthu wachinyamata komanso woganiziridwa bwino.

Wovotera wa United Left, pa nthawiyi, ndi mwa kukhudzika. Ngati simuvotera Podemos ndichifukwa simukufuna, chifukwa sichimamukhutiritsa. Ngakhale nthawi zina chifukwa chakuti mumanyansidwa ndi njira zawo kapena maganizo awo.

Choncho, Mgwirizano wapakati pa magulu awiriwa ukhoza kupangitsa kuti gawo lalikulu la ovota a Izquierda Unida asokonezeke. Kaya awa ndi 20%, 30% kapena 40% ya mavoti amgwirizano siziwoneka. Koma kuti pali ovota a United Left omwe atha kukana kapena kulowa nawo PSOE pambuyo pa kuyanjana, ndichinthu chomwe chitha kukanidwa chifukwa cha kusalakwa pazandale.

Koma, Pali mtundu wa ovota a Podemos omwe sangasangalale kwambiri ndi confluence iyi. Iye ndiye wovota yemwe tingatchule "wodutsa". Mbali iyi ya Podemos inali yofunika kwambiri pachiyambi chake ndipo idakalipobe lero. Iye ndi wovota wotopa ndi ziphuphu, ulova, kusamukira kwina, kumva kuti akugwiriridwa kapena kuphwanyidwa. Sikuti makamaka kumanzere kapena kulowerera ndale. Akufuna kusiya zomwe Pablo Iglesias adazitcha molondola panthawiyo "gulu". Kwa ovotayo, Izquierda Unida ndi gawo la anthu akale. Kwa ovota ameneyo, Podemos amataya kukongola ndi kutsitsimuka akaphatikizidwa nawo. Sitingathenso kudziwa kuti ndi angati ovota a Podemos omwe angatayike ngati kugwirizana kwafika, kaya ndi 5%, 10% kapena 15% ya chiwerengerocho. Koma iwo ali.

Pomaliza, Kuthekera kopeza mavoti kuchokera kunja kwa mpikisano kumawoneka ngati kopanda pake kwa ine. Sizingatheke kuti aliyense amene sanafune kuvotera Podemos kapena Izquierda Unida asanabwere pamodzi adzachita chimodzimodzi chifukwa akukhulupirira pamodzi. M'malo mwake.

Mu 1993, Basque Socialist Party idatenga kagulu kakang'ono koma kofunikira kadziko kamene kamatchedwa Euskadiko Ezra. Onse awiri anali ndi osankhidwa awo komanso mbiri yawo. Onse anali ndi zisankho zawo, zina mwangozi komanso zosiyana. Polowa nawo, adafuna kuphatikizira mbali zonse ziwiri kuti zithandizire projekiti yapadziko lonse lapansi. Zomwe adapeza ndikuti, patatha chaka chimodzi, palibe amene adakumbukira Euskadiko Ezkerra: likulu lake linachepetsedwa, monga shuga, mkati mwa PSE. Mavoti awo adawulutsidwa ndi mphepo ndipo sanamveponso. Osachepera a PSE sanawawonepo.

Cholinga cha zolemba za "2 × 1" ndikuyambitsa mkangano: kulumikizana ndi nkhani yotsutsana

@josesalver