Iiprimaries zeDemokhrasi (USA): kuthekani ngamaphondo amakhulu?

Sithetha kakhulu kule mihla Iowa o New Hampshire, amazwe okuqala aza kubamba iiprimaries eUnited States. Kangangokuba i-Iowa iyababhiyozela namhlanje (i-caucus yayo iya "kuvula" ngale mva kwemini, ebusuku eSpain).

I-Iowa, i-New Hampshire okanye i-Nevada ibalulekile, kuba baya kubeka ithoni kubo bonke abanye, kodwa abathunywa be-41 ukuba i-Iowa iya kuthumela kwindibano yeDemokhrasi ngoJulayi, okanye i-24 evela eNew Hampshire, umzekelo, ibala ngokuthelekisa amazwe amakhulu.

Ezine ezinkulu (California, eNew York, eTexas naseFlorida), iya kuthumela kwindibano ngaphezu kwe-1.100 labathunywa, kwaye ubunzima babo bukhulu kangangokuba banokuthi banike ibhalansi kuye nawuphi na umgqatswa weDemokhrasi.

Makhe sihlolisise indlela ii-poll ezikuzo.

FORNIA

Kweyona ndawo inabemi abaninzi beManyano, eyongeza ngaphezu kwe-400 labathunywa, USanders unenzuzo ebalulekileyo. Sinovoto ezimbini ukusuka kwiintsuku ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo apho uBernie omdalaIde iqhubele phambili.

ICalifornia yiyo Isacholo nabanye ikhulu labathunywa que Banokutshintsha izandla kwiivoti ezimbalwa: ezo zahlulayo zifikelela kumda we-15% okanye zihlala ngaphantsi kwawo. Okwangoku, zombini iBiden kunye neWarren zibonakala zingasentla, kodwa... amaprimayi asoloko enika imimangaliso, kwaye nabani na ongafikeleliyo kwi-15% yelishwa kweli lizwe kuninzi lwamanani angaphelelanga uya kuba sengozini kakhulu ekusasazweni kwabathunywa, kwaye kuya kunqabile kakhulu ukuba banqwenele ukutyunjwa kweDemokhrasi.

Nge-3 kaMatshi siza kukwazi.

I-FLORIDA

IFlorida yenye yezo “amazwe ajingi” (amazwe athatha isigqibo, isiqingatha seDemokhrasi, isiqingatha seRiphabhlikhi) ahlala enikela ibhalansi yobongameli baseMntla Merika.

Kodwa ngoku asithethi malunga nomongameli, kodwa "kuphela" malunga nokutyunjwa kweDemokhrasi. Iindawo zedatha ezaziwayo zamva nje IBiden idume kakhulu, ngelixa i-avareji yeSanders kunye neBloomberg ingaphantsi kancinane kwe-15%. Ukuba kunjalo, iBiden inokuthatha “ipinki” enomtsalane, mhlawumbi isondele kuma-200 abathunywa. Ukuba, kwelinye icala, uSanders okanye iBloomberg ifikelele kwi-15% kumacandelo amaninzi, iBiden iya kufumana malunga ne-100, kwaye abanye baya kuya kwabanye abaviwa ababini.

INEW YORK

Imeko ye “inkunzi engekho semthethweni"Ihlabathi libalulekile kugqatso lweDemokhrasi, kodwa amandla alo abuthathaka kuba, ngelixa bevota nge-28 ka-Epreli, amanye amazwe athatha isigqibo aya kuba sele etyunjiwe abathunywa, kwaye ulonyulo lusenokupheliswa. Okwangoku, iBiden ime ngaphandle, kwaye siyabona USanders kunye noWarren ngaphezulu kwe-15%. Ngaphaya koko, asikabi nayo idata Bloomberg, enokuqhekeza umgangatho kwesi sixeko, esona sixeko sibalulekileyo awayengusodolophu iminyaka emininzi.

Texas

Ilizwe elikhulu lasemazantsi nayo iya kuba nesigqibo, ngenxa yokuba, ukongezelela, inyula abathunywa bayo kwangethuba. Okwangoku iBiden inenzuzo encinci, nangona iimpawu ziqala ukubonwa ukuba izinto zinokutshintsha: I-Bloomberg ikhula kakhulu, nangona kusekude kwi-15%, ngelixa UWarren uhlala e Ndiyafuna kodwa andikwazi, ixhaphake kakhulu kuye kumazwe amaninzi. Ukuba uWarren kunye / okanye iBloomberg ekugqibeleni iphumelele iziphumo ezininzi ngaphezulu kwe-15%, ukuhanjiswa kwabathunywa kuya kushiya iBiden kunye neSanders ngaphantsi kwe-100.

Okwangoku Ukuqala ngale mva kwemini ukuvota kuyenzeka e-Iowa, kwaye abathunywa bayo abathozamileyo abangama-41 baya kuqala ukusixelela ukuba iya kuba yintoni ikhosi yokugqibela yeeprimaries zeDemokhrasi, ebonakala ilolona khuphiswano kakhulu kwimbali yeqela.