Ibhalansi eethe-ethe ekulungeleyo ukuba iPP iphuke kwaye i-UP igcine

Ngeli nqaku sivala uthotho ezintathu ezinikezelweyo kwimeko enokuthi ithathwe kwi umndilili wophando ukusuka nge-6 kaJuni kunye nokuvela kwayo kwangaphambili kude kube nguJuni 26.

Kwizavenge ezimbini ezidlulileyo sihlalutye imeko ibloko yasekhohlo nangaphakathi  iblokhi elungileyo. 

Siqala kwiingqikelelo ezimbini ezingafanelekanga, kodwa esikholelwa ukuba zifanelekile:

1. Sineebloko ezimbini zonyulo, enye ngasekunene (PP+C's) kunye nenye ukuya ngasekhohlo (UP+PSOE) kwaye siyakwamkela ukusasazwa kweepesenti zevoti ezithatyathwe kumyinge wokuvota ngoJuni 6. Olunye unikezelo iya kuthoba isiphumo kwelinye icala okanye kwelinye, ewe, kodwa bebengayi kuzenza zingasebenzi izigqibo ngokubanzi.
2. Okulandelayo sivavanya ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba imeko iba yipolarized ukususela ngoku kude kube ngowama-26-J. Kweli nqaku lokugqibela, sikwabona kwangaphambili ukuba kunokwenzeka kwenzeke okwahlukileyo. Kubalo sisebenzisa i Isibali-kubala ukusuka kumlingane wethu uLutxana, ogqitywe ngabanye abasebenzisi, kwaye osinika ngaphezu kokuthembeka okuqinisekisiweyo, kunye nomda wempazamo esiqikelele kubuninzi bezihlalo ezi-2 zoqeqesho ngalunye.

Nje ukuba iimeko ezisekunene nasekhohlo zifundiwe, ngoku lixesha lokuzidibanisa ukuze ufumane umfanekiso oyinyaniso. Masiyeni apho:

Ukubala inani elisebenzayo lamaqela, kulo mzekelo usibonisa "isalathisi se-polarization", sisebenzise indlela kaNjingalwazi uLijphart.

Itheyibhile ibonisa, phezulu, ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba i-PSOE kunye ne-C iya kunqoba i-polarization kwaye ibuyise iivoti ngeendleko ze-PP kunye ne-UP, kwaye, ngasezantsi, ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba kwenzeke okuchaseneyo. Itheyibhile iqhubela phambili kancinane ekugqithiseni i-polarization ukuze iqhubeke ingqiqo yamanqaku adlulileyo kwaye ngenxa yokuba, ngokufanelekileyo, ndiyakholelwa ukuba kukho okunye okuya kukhokelela kuloo ndawo. Ibhalansi engalunganga (eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka) yinzuzo kwibhloko elungileyo, kwaye ibhalansi elungileyo (ebomvu) iyinzuzo ngasekhohlo.

Izigqibo zivela ngokwazo. Sinokuzishwankathela ngolu hlobo:

Ekuqaleni. Ukulungelelaniswa kwemikhosi ephawulwe ngoku yi-polls yeyona nto ingcono kakhulu ngasekhohlo. Iinketho zabo ziya kuphucula, ngokuqinisekileyo, ukuba zinyuka ngepesenti yeevoti, kodwa nje ukuba ubunzima bombutho ngamnye wezopolitiko bugcinwe kangangoko kunokwenzeka. Phantse naluphi na olunye utshintsho luya kuba yingozi kuwe.

Isibini. Ukuba i-PSOE kunye / okanye i-Ciudadanos ikwazi ukunqoba i-dynamics ye-polarization kunye nokuphucula ithemba labo kwiiveki ezizayo, baya kukwazi ukuqhubela phambili kwizikhundla zabo, kodwa, ngokubanzi, i-bloc eya kuzuza iya kuba yinto efanelekileyo- i-wing bloc (indawo yasekunene yegrafu).

Isithathu. Ukuba i-PP kunye ne-UP baphumelele kwisicwangciso sabo se-polarization, kwaye bobabini baphakamisa iipesenti zabo kwiintsuku ezingama-20 esizishiyile kude kube kunyulo, baya kuphucula ngengqiqo izikhundla zabo ngabanye, kodwa, ngokubanzi, isikhundla sePP siya kuba kakhulu ngakumbi. yomelezwe kune-UP (indawo yasekhohlo yegrafu).

Ngamafutshane, ekhohlo izakuqala iphulo lonyulo emva kokufikelela kwimeko emenza ophumelele umdlalo. kunjalo, Nakuphi na ukuguqulwa kweebhalansi zangoku, ngaphandle kokunyuswa ngokudibeneyo kwepesenti yeevoti ze-PSOE kunye ne-UP, ziya kuthanda abachasi babo.

Kuninzi kakhulu uhlalutyo phambi kwephulo lonyulo. Ngoku iqala kakuhle. Kwaye apha siya kukuxelela. Ndibulise kubo bonke.

Amanqaku angaphambili kuthotho:

I-sorpasso inokuthintela uPablo Iglesias ukuba afikelele kurhulumente

I-PP ibambeka kwiCiudadanos

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