ElectoPanel final (Cataluña 6M): escenario abierto

Es difícil hacer cálculos de voto cuando hay tantísimos indecisos aun. Pero me voy a arriesgar.

Previsión Catalunya:

Barcelona
PSOE 29%-30% (+4%/+5%) / 29-30 (+6/+7) -> 29
Junts 19%-20% (+1%/+2%) / 17-18 (+1/+2) -> 17
ERC 15%-16% (-5%/-4%) / 14-15 (-5/-4) -> 14
PP 12%-13% (+7%/+8) / 10-11 (+7/+8) -> 10
VOX 5%-6% (-2%/-1%) / 4-5 (-3/-2) -> 4
Comuns 5%-6% (-2%/-1%) / 4-5 (-3/-2) -> 4
CUP 4%-5% (-2%/-1%) / 3-4 (-2/-1) -> 4
AC 3%-4% (+3%/+4%) / 3 (+3) -> 3
C’s 1%-2% (-5%/-4%) / 0 (-5)
Alhora 1% / 0 (=)

Tarragona
PSOE 25%-26% (+5%/+6%) / 5-6 (+1/+2) -> 5
Junts 20%-21% (+1%/+2%) / 4-5 (=/+1) -> 5
ERC 19%-20% (-5%/-4%) / 4 (-1) -> 4
PP 9%-10% (+5%/+6) / 2 (+2) -> 2
VOX 5%-6% (-4%/-3%) / 1 (-1) -> 1
CUP 4%-5% (-2%/-1%) / 0-1(-1/=) -> 1
Comuns 3%-4% (-2%/-1%) / 0-1 (-1/=) -> 0
AC 3%-4% (+3%/+4%) / 0-1 (=/+1) -> 0
C’s 1%-2% (-4%/-3) / 0 (-1)
Alhora 1% / 0 (=)

Girona
Junts 34%-35% (+2%/+3%) / 7 (=) -> 7
PSOE 19%-20% (+4%/+5%) / 3-4 (=/+1) -> 4
ERC 17%-18% (-5%/-4%) / 3-4 (-1/=) -> 3
CUP 8%-9% (-1%/=) / 1-2 (-1/=) -> 1
PP 5%-6% (+3%/+4%) / 1 (+1) -> 1
AC 5%-6% (+5%/+6) / 1 (+1) -> 1
VOX 4%-5% (-2%/-1%) / 0-1 (-1/=) -> 0
Comuns 2%-3% (-2%/-1%) / 0 (=) -> 0
Alhora 2% / 0 (=)
C’s 1% (-2%) / 0 (=)

Lleida
Junts 29%-30% (+1%/+2%) / 6 (+1) -> 6
ERC 21%-22% (-5%/-4%) / 4 (-1) -> 4
PSOE 20%-21% (+5%/+6%) / 4 (+1) -> 4
CUP 5%-6% (-2%/-1) / 0-1(-1/=) -> 1
PP 5%-6% (+2%/+3%) / 0-1 (=/+1) -> 0
AC 4%-5% (+5%/+6) / 0-1 (=/+1) -> 0
VOX 4%-5% (-2%/-1%) / 0-1 (-1/=) -> 0
Comuns 2%-3% (-1%/=) / 0 (=) -> 0
Alhora 1% / 0 (=)
C’s 1% (-2%) / 0 (=)

Catalunya
PSOE 27%-28% (+4%/+5%) / 41-44 (+8/+11) -> 42
Junts 21%-22% (+1%/+2%) / 34-36 (+2/+4) -> 35
ERC 16%-17% (-5%/-4%) / 25-27 (-8/-6) -> 25
PP 11%-12% (+7%/+8) / 13-15 (+10/+12) -> 13
VOX 4%-5% (-3%/-2%) / 5-8 (-6/-3) -> 5
CUP 4%-5% (-2%/-1%) / 4-8 (-5/-1) -> 7
Comuns 4-5% (-2%/-1%) / 4-6 (-4/-2) -> 4
AC 3%-4% (+3%/+4%) / 4-7 (+4/+7) -> 4
C’s 1%-2% (-5%/-4%) / 0 (-6)
Alhora 1% / 0 (=)